Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $36.3K·Volume $289.9K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes15%No85%
Smart money leans
No
84% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
76%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
84%price84%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$18.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$14.0K
72h +$14.0K
Smart money entered77¢84¢at 07:05(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy9h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$36.3K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $18.4K riding on it.
The price of 84% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 77¢; the price was 84¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$14.0K, +$14.0K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $100 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $100 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $16 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $16 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $23 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $57 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $80 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $36 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $36 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $45 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $45 |
| 9h ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $204 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $45 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $45 |
| 9h ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $204 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $45 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $45 |
| 9h ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $204 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $17 |
| 9h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $329 |
| 9h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $329 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $17 |
| 9h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $55 |
| 9h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $329 |
| 9h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $329 |
| 9h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $72 |
| 9h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $329 |
| 9h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $329 |
| 9h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $72 |