Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
ActiveLiquidity $10.5K·Volume $25.9K·Ends Aug 19, 2026
Price now:Yes95%No5%
Smart money leans
Yes
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$805 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered69¢95¢at 07:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Aug 19, 2026)Liquidity$10.5K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $805 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 69¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $805 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $86 |
| 1w ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $668 |
| 1w ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | No | 23¢ | $60 |
| 1w ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $1,240 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $21 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $102 |
| 1w ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $180 |
| 2w ago | RLWGMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | seal7Top | Buy | No | 68¢ | $1,336 |
| 2w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 57¢ | $7 |