US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $106.1K·Volume $1.9M·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:23Smart money exiting · $964 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
Yes
3% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.3pp
model above price
Consensus
64%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
3%price3%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$3,756 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$328
72h +$643
Smart money entered7.3¢3.0¢at 07:23(0% priced in)Edge left+0.3ppLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 5d(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$106.1K
Explanation
9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Yes", with $3,756 riding on it.
The price of 3% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 7.3¢; the price was 3.0¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Warning: wallets that backed "Yes" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$328, +$643 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $1,874 |
| 2h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $19 |
| 3h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $20 |
| 3h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $517 |
| 3h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $517 |
| 5h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $377 |
| 5h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $1,510 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $9 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $9 |
| 7h ago | hugecaulkMid | Sell | Yes | 3.4¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | hugecaulkMid | Sell | Yes | 3.4¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.4¢ | $76 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.4¢ | $76 |
| 8h ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $802 |
| 8h ago | hugecaulkMid | Sell | Yes | 3.4¢ | $275 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.5¢ | $10 |
| 8h ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $647 |
| 8h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $123 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.5¢ | $0 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.5¢ | $0 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.5¢ | $2 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.5¢ | $22 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.5¢ | $22 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.5¢ | $44 |
| 10h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $13 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.5¢ | $44 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $34 |
| 10h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $913 |
| 10h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,157 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $43 |
| 10h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,157 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $43 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $3 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $3 |
| 11h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 11h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $18 |
| 11h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $72 |
| 11h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $287 |
| 11h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $6 |
| 11h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $6 |
| 11h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $152 |
| 11h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $152 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $192 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $192 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $89 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $89 |
| 12h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.1¢ | $4 |
| 12h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.1¢ | $1 |