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US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $106.1K·Volume $1.9M·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes3%No97%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:23Smart money exiting · $964 sold 24hcomputed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
3% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.3pp
model above price
Consensus
64%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
3%price3%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$3,756 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$328
72h +$643
Smart money entered7.3¢3.0¢at 07:23(0% priced in)Edge left+0.3ppLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 5d(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$106.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Yes", with $3,756 riding on it.

The price of 3% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 7.3¢; the price was 3.0¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Warning: wallets that backed "Yes" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$328, +$643 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:23
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h agozthunderfuryMidSellNo97¢$1,874
2h agozthunderfuryMidSellNo97¢$19
3h agozthunderfuryMidSellNo97¢$20
3h agozthunderfuryMidSellNo97¢$517
3h agozthunderfuryMidSellNo97¢$517
5h agozthunderfuryMidSellNo97¢$377
5h agozthunderfuryMidSellNo97¢$1,510
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.3¢$0
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.3¢$0
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.3¢$9
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.3¢$9
7h agohugecaulkMidSellYes3.4¢$0
7h agohugecaulkMidSellYes3.4¢$5
8h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.4¢$76
8h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.4¢$76
8h agoxxNyxMidSellNo97¢$802
8h agohugecaulkMidSellYes3.4¢$275
8h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.5¢$10
8h agoxxNyxMidSellNo97¢$647
8h agozthunderfuryMidSellNo97¢$123
9h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.5¢$0
9h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.5¢$0
9h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.5¢$2
9h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.5¢$22
9h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.5¢$22
10h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.5¢$44
10h agozthunderfuryMidSellNo97¢$13
10h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.5¢$44
10h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.6¢$34
10h agononkenny90MidBuyNo96¢$913
10h agononkenny90MidBuyNo96¢$1,157
10h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.6¢$43
10h agononkenny90MidBuyNo96¢$1,157
10h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.6¢$43
10h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.6¢$3
10h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes3.6¢$3
11h agozthunderfuryMidSellNo96¢$5
11h agozthunderfuryMidSellNo96¢$18
11h agozthunderfuryMidSellNo96¢$72
11h agozthunderfuryMidSellNo96¢$287
11h agononkenny90MidBuyNo96¢$6
11h agononkenny90MidBuyNo96¢$6
11h agononkenny90MidBuyNo96¢$152
11h agononkenny90MidBuyNo96¢$152
11h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo96¢$192
11h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo96¢$192
11h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes4.0¢$89
11h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes4.0¢$89
12h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes4.1¢$4
12h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes4.1¢$1