Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
ActiveLiquidity $21.4K·Volume $534.9K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No94%
Smart money leans
Yes
6% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
6%price6%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$723 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered10¢6.0¢at 03:20(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$21.4K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $723 riding on it.
The price of 6% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 10¢; the price was 6.0¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $723 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:20
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $11 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $24 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $13 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $56 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $31 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $18 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $20 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 79¢ | $314 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $40 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $178 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $180 |
| 9w ago | PulserMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $1,150 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $13 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $20 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $186 |
| 10w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $794 |
| 10w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $1,838 |
| 10w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $2,498 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $3 |
| 10w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 88¢ | $814 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $19 |
| 10w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 88¢ | $1,628 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $16 |
| 11w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $2 |
| 11w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $5 |
| 11w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $5 |
| 11w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $178 |