Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $2,632·Volume $30.8K·Ends Nov 20, 2026
Price now:Yes85%No15%
Smart money leans
Yes
79% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
97%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
79%price79%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$635 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,515
72h +$1,515
Smart money entered43¢79¢at 16:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 9d(Nov 20, 2026)Liquidity$2,632
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $635 riding on it.
The price of 79% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 43¢; the price was 79¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $635 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,515, +$1,515 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 13¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 13¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 13¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 13¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 29¢ | $50 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 29¢ | $50 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 29¢ | $44 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 29¢ | $44 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 27¢ | $523 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 27¢ | $523 |
| 4h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 32¢ | $32 |
| 4h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 32¢ | $32 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 73¢ | $73 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 73¢ | $73 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 14¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $11 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 16¢ | $16 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 16¢ | $16 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $35 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $31 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $35 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $31 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 38¢ | $17 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 38¢ | $17 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 38¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 43¢ | $22 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 38¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 43¢ | $22 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $73 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $73 |
| 7h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 55¢ | $110 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $48 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $48 |
| 19h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 44¢ | $20 |
| 19h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 44¢ | $20 |
| 19h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 44¢ | $2 |
| 19h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 44¢ | $2 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $234 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $234 |
| 20h ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $175 |
| 20h ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $175 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $87 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 81¢ | $162 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $51 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 72¢ | $77 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 72¢ | $41 |