Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $4,703·Volume $17.4K·Ends Nov 24, 2026
Price now:Yes94%No6%
Smart money leans
No
9% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
55%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
9%price9%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$186 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$256
72h +$293
Smart money entered21¢8.5¢at 16:41(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 13d(Nov 24, 2026)Liquidity$4,703
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "No", with $186 riding on it.
The price of 9% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 21¢; the price was 8.5¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $186 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$256, +$293 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $5 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $6 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $6 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $6 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $6 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $25 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $27 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $25 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $27 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 14¢ | $31 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $15 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 14¢ | $31 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $15 |
| 6h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 19¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 19¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $7 |
| 19h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 19h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 20h ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $417 |
| 20h ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 47¢ | $51 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 47¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 47¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 47¢ | $78 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 50¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 50¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 50¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 50¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 50¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 50¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 50¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 50¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $10 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 59¢ | $75 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 59¢ | $12 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 59¢ | $2 |