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Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $56.0K·Volume $264.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes13%No88%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:45computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
88% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
84%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$6,914 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$14.1K
Smart money entered84¢88¢at 07:45(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$56.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $6,914 riding on it.

The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $6,914 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$14.1K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:45
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes13¢$0
1d ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidBuyNo86¢$2,730
1d ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidBuyNo82¢$41
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes14¢$47
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes15¢$25
1d ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidBuyNo86¢$2,730
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes13¢$43
1d ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidBuyNo82¢$41
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes15¢$1
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes15¢$1
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes15¢$7
1d ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidBuyNo84¢$185
1d ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidBuyNo84¢$185
1d agopakukudolphiMidBuyYes16¢$893
1d ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidBuyNo84¢$3,864
1d agopakukudolphiMidBuyYes16¢$893
1d ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidBuyNo84¢$3,864
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes10¢$33
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes10¢$33
10w ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidSellNo91¢$854
10w ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidSellNo91¢$1
10w ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidSellNo91¢$2
10w ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidSellNo91¢$6
10w ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidSellNo91¢$5
10w ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidSellNo91¢$2
10w ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidSellNo91¢$6
11w ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidSellNo91¢$284
11w ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidSellNo91¢$9
11w ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidSellNo91¢$16
11w ago0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960MidSellNo91¢$514
12w agoviniiTopSellNo90¢$726
12w agoviniiTopSellNo90¢$837
12w agoviniiTopBuyNo89¢$1,538