Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $113.3K·Volume $5.1M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$35.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered95¢99¢at 17:12(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 50d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$113.3K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $35.0K riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $35.0K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $2,556 |
| 6w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $1,680 |
| 6w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $1,300 |
| 10w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $6,304 |
| 12w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $3,279 |