Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $109.1K·Volume $952.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes97%No3%
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,139 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered95¢97¢at 16:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$109.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,139 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,139 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $1,912 |
| 1w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $232 |
| 1w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $796 |
| 1w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $1,317 |
| 2w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $872 |
| 2w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $1,062 |
| 2w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $106 |
| 3w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $97 |
| 3w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 3.6¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 3.6¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 3.6¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 3.9¢ | $87 |
| 5w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 4.4¢ | $223 |
| 7w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $277 |
| 7w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $97 |
| 7w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $55 |
| 7w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $575 |
| 7w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $462 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $28 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $28 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $6 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $2 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $4 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $2,838 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $170 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $40 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 93¢ | $1,411 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $1,055 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $10 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $10 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $2 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $2 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $32 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $32 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $7 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $2 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $4 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $169 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 4.0¢ | $9 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 4.0¢ | $4 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 4.0¢ | $31 |
| 8w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $15,610 |
| 10w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 9.0¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 9.0¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 12¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 14¢ | $40 |