Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $18.4K·Volume $69.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes13%No87%
Smart money leans
No
87% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
87%price87%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$264 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered88¢87¢at 00:21(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$18.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $264 riding on it.
The price of 87% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 87¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $264 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:21
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $265 |