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Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

ActiveLiquidity $68.0K·Volume $1.5M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes83%No17%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:43computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
18% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
66%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
18%price18%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$355 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$318
Smart money entered44¢18¢at 07:43Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$68.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "No", with $355 riding on it.

The price of 18% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 44¢; the price was 18¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $355 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$318 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:43
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoAlbert 1953MidSellYes76¢$242
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyNo25¢$4
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyNo25¢$4
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyNo25¢$4
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyNo25¢$5
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyNo25¢$5
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyNo25¢$13
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyNo25¢$184
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyNo25¢$184
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyNo25¢$1
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyNo25¢$25
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyNo25¢$0
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyNo25¢$25
6d agoTBill1MidBuyNo40¢$51
6d agoAlbert 1953MidSellYes57¢$4
6d agoAlbert 1953MidSellYes57¢$2
6d agoAlbert 1953MidBuyYes50¢$8
6d agoAlbert 1953MidBuyYes50¢$14,822
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes34¢$13
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes39¢$5
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes37¢$7
1w agoTBill1MidBuyYes37¢$130
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes36¢$15
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes18¢$13
1w agoTokorTopBuyYes25¢$3
1w agoTokorTopBuyYes27¢$135
1w agoTokorTopBuyYes25¢$34
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes19¢$19
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes23¢$5
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes16¢$2
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes16¢$1
2w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes35¢$35
2w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes35¢$15
2w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes35¢$35
2w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes35¢$30
2w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes33¢$0
2w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes33¢$2
2w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes33¢$10
2w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes29¢$3
2w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes29¢$3
2w agoTBill1MidBuyNo62¢$801
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes26¢$18
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes29¢$16
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes28¢$2
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes29¢$2
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes33¢$16
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes32¢$3
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes32¢$11
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes32¢$3
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes32¢$33