Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $11.5K·Volume $40.4K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,810 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered89¢98¢at 07:23(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$11.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,810 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,810 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $84 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $47 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $9 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $65 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $47 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $112 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $10 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $48 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $48 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $42 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $3,344 |
| 9w ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $134 |
| 9w ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $216 |
| 9w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $339 |
| 9w ago | 101456Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $23 |