Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
ActiveLiquidity $361.2K·Volume $1.8M·Ends Nov 7, 2028
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,701 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,288
Smart money entered96¢97¢at 20:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 727d(Nov 7, 2028)Liquidity$361.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,701 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,701 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,288 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 20:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $739 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $739 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $129 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $123 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $123 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $709 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $709 |