Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
ActiveLiquidity $28.5K·Volume $218.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2029
Price now:Yes32%No69%
Smart money leans
No
70% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
77%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
70%price70%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$632 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$240
Smart money entered68¢70¢at 02:03(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 782d(Jan 1, 2029)Liquidity$28.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "No", with $632 riding on it.
The price of 70% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 68¢; the price was 70¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $632 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$240 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:03
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $110 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $110 |
| 6d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $97 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $25 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $114 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $69 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $191 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $442 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $1,238 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $144 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $31 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $1,019 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 65¢ | $1,987 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 69¢ | $229 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $343 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 66¢ | $1,070 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $3,463 |
| 2w ago | dromedaryyMid | Sell | No | 75¢ | $18,448 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $626 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 25¢ | $652 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 26¢ | $520 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $48 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $34 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $53 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $48 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $70 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $271 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $634 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 22¢ | $77 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 21¢ | $29 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 21¢ | $42 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 21¢ | $57 |
| 2w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $378 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $91 |
| 3w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 21¢ | $40 |
| 3w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 21¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $276 |
| 3w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 21¢ | $42 |
| 3w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $128 |
| 3w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $152 |
| 3w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $380 |
| 3w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $200 |
| 4w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 25¢ | $627 |
| 4w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 22¢ | $165 |