Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
ActiveLiquidity $138.7K·Volume $302.3K·Ends Oct 25, 2027
Price now:Yes44%No56%
Smart money leans
Yes
44% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
44%price44%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$7,416 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered48¢44¢at 06:40(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 348d(Oct 25, 2027)Liquidity$138.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $7,416 riding on it.
The price of 44% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 44¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $7,416 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:40
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | TheReturnOfDarthMaulTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $1,734 |