Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $43.3K·Volume $567.6K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$31.7K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,342
72h +$8,015
Smart money entered47¢97¢at 22:03(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$43.3K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $31.7K riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,342, +$8,015 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:03
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $20 |
| 1h ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $20 |
| 3h ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $11 |
| 3h ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $11 |
| 3h ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $226 |
| 3h ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $226 |
| 4h ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $284 |
| 4h ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $284 |
| 4h ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $81 |
| 4h ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $81 |
| 4h ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $174 |
| 4h ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $174 |
| 5h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $789 |
| 5h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $789 |
| 5h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $1,437 |
| 5h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $1,316 |
| 5h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $1,316 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $191 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $149 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $42 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $191 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $149 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $42 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $23 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $23 |
| 18h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 12¢ | $61 |
| 18h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 12¢ | $61 |
| 1d ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $300 |
| 1d ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $300 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $188 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $144 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $233 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $107 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 16¢ | $35 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 16¢ | $36 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 16¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 18¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 18¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |