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Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?

ActiveLiquidity $43.3K·Volume $567.6K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 22:03computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$31.7K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,342
72h +$8,015
Smart money entered47¢97¢at 22:03(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$43.3K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $31.7K riding on it.

The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,342, +$8,015 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 22:03
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agoLulaVaiPerderTopBuyYes97¢$20
1h agoLulaVaiPerderTopBuyYes97¢$20
3h ago0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTopBuyYes97¢$9
3h ago0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTopBuyYes97¢$9
3h ago0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTopBuyYes97¢$11
3h ago0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTopBuyYes97¢$11
3h ago0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTopBuyYes97¢$226
3h ago0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTopBuyYes97¢$226
4h agoLulaVaiPerderTopBuyYes97¢$284
4h agoLulaVaiPerderTopBuyYes97¢$284
4h agoLulaVaiPerderTopBuyYes97¢$81
4h agoLulaVaiPerderTopBuyYes97¢$81
4h agoLulaVaiPerderTopBuyYes97¢$174
4h agoLulaVaiPerderTopBuyYes97¢$174
5h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes96¢$789
5h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes96¢$789
5h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes96¢$8
5h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes96¢$3
5h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes96¢$8
5h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes96¢$3
5h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes95¢$1,437
5h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$1,316
5h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes94¢$1,316
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes86¢$191
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes86¢$149
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes86¢$42
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes86¢$191
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes86¢$149
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes86¢$42
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes85¢$23
15h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes85¢$23
18h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo12¢$61
18h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo12¢$61
1d agoLulaVaiPerderTopBuyYes86¢$300
1d agoLulaVaiPerderTopBuyYes86¢$300
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes85¢$12
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes85¢$12
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes85¢$13
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes85¢$188
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes85¢$144
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo15¢$233
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo15¢$107
3d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo15¢$3
3d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo16¢$35
3d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo16¢$36
3d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo16¢$0
3d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo18¢$2
3d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo18¢$3
3d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo18¢$1
3d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo18¢$2