Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $25.1K·Volume $110.1K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes35%No66%
Smart money leans
Yes
35% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
35%price35%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$435 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered48¢35¢at 07:15(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$25.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $435 riding on it.
The price of 35% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 35¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $435 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:15
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | MeckyMid | Sell | Yes | 36¢ | $179 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $87 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $31 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 41¢ | $8 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $8 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $7 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $9 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $9 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 50¢ | $25 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $8 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $65 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $30 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $49 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $50 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $51 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $78 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $26 |
| 5w ago | MeckyMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $265 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $27 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $27 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $54 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $63 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 43¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 46¢ | $19 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $12 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $56 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $57 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 45¢ | $85 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $11 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 43¢ | $99 |