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Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $93.6K·Volume $2.0M·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes10%No90%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:41computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$58.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$7,687
Smart money entered92¢90¢at 07:41(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$93.6K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $58.4K riding on it.

The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $58.4K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$7,687 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:41
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo92¢$4,204
1d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo92¢$4,204
2d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo92¢$8
2d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo92¢$8
2d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo92¢$6
2d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo92¢$6
4d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo91¢$1
4d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo91¢$1,082
5d agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes8.8¢$121
5d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo91¢$18
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo91¢$542
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo91¢$12
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo91¢$22
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo89¢$45
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo89¢$45
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo89¢$53
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$81
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$45
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$342
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$369
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$549
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$259
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$89
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$9
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$180
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$38
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$1,931
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$1,034
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$88
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$14
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$14
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo90¢$898
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes10¢$52
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes12¢$10
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes12¢$26
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes12¢$40
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes12¢$82
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo89¢$18
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo89¢$62
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes12¢$4
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes12¢$2
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes12¢$6
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes12¢$12
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes12¢$9
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo89¢$18
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes12¢$9
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes12¢$109
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo88¢$10
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo88¢$424
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo88¢$432