Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $25.8K·Volume $91.8K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,733
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 07:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$25.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,733 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $580 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $53 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $1,864 |
| 4d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $37 |
| 4d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $19 |
| 4d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $19 |
| 4d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $39 |
| 4d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $142 |
| 5d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $282 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $301 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $371 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $529 |
| 1w ago | Michael-The-TaxiarchMid | Buy | Yes | 73¢ | $976 |
| 2w ago | whigTop | Sell | Yes | 53¢ | $37 |
| 3w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $20 |