Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $24.9K·Volume $194.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
96%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,624 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered74¢97¢at 06:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$24.9K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,624 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 74¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,624 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 5d ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $475 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $6 |
| 6d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $440 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $298 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $460 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $617 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $18 |
| 2w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $860 |
| 2w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $50 |
| 2w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $150 |
| 2w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $6 |
| 2w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $53 |
| 2w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 89¢ | $30 |
| 2w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 2w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 88¢ | $881 |
| 3w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 89¢ | $163 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $300 |
| 5w ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 85¢ | $170 |
| 6w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 79¢ | $79 |
| 7w ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $72 |
| 7w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $84 |
| 7w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $84 |
| 7w ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $71 |
| 7w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $393 |
| 7w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $14 |
| 7w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $257 |
| 7w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $50 |
| 7w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $615 |
| 7w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $109 |
| 7w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $73 |
| 8w ago | 101456Mid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $1,482 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $108 |
| 9w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 27¢ | $54 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $73 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $19 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $19 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $24 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $340 |
| 10w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $14 |
| 10w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $84 |
| 10w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $21 |
| 10w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $8 |
| 10w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $103 |
| 10w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $34 |