Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $39.5K·Volume $30.7K·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes85%No15%
Smart money leans
Yes
84% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
75%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
84%price84%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$472 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$26
72h +$817
Smart money entered69¢84¢at 16:14Edge leftnoneLast smart buy7h agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$39.5K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $472 riding on it.
The price of 84% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 69¢; the price was 84¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $472 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$26, +$817 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:14
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 85¢ | $35 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 85¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 85¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 84¢ | $42 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 84¢ | $42 |
| 7h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $18 |
| 7h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $18 |
| 7h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $53 |
| 7h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $53 |
| 7h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $43 |
| 7h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $43 |
| 9h ago | PondermintTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $1 |
| 9h ago | PondermintTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $1 |
| 15h ago | PondermintTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $4 |
| 15h ago | PondermintTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $4 |
| 18h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 84¢ | $42 |
| 18h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 84¢ | $42 |
| 18h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 83¢ | $42 |
| 1d ago | PondermintTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $47 |
| 1d ago | PondermintTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $47 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 75¢ | $75 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 75¢ | $75 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $116 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $148 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $116 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $148 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 78¢ | $81 |
| 1d ago | PondermintTop | Buy | No | 29¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | PondermintTop | Buy | No | 29¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | PondermintTop | Buy | No | 28¢ | $173 |
| 1d ago | PondermintTop | Buy | No | 26¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $211 |
| 5d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $26 |
| 5d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 30¢ | $37 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $197 |
| 2w ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $90 |