Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $106.0K·Volume $1.7M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes16%No84%
Smart money leans
Yes
13% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
76%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
13%price13%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$2,976 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$283
72h +$1,464
Smart money entered38¢13¢at 07:42(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy15h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$106.0K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $2,976 riding on it.
The price of 13% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 38¢; the price was 13¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$283, +$1,464 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $222 |
| 10h ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $222 |
| 10h ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $5 |
| 10h ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $5 |
| 10h ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $11 |
| 10h ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $11 |
| 15h ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $170 |
| 15h ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $48 |
| 15h ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $48 |
| 15h ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $42 |
| 15h ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $42 |
| 17h ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 21¢ | $230 |
| 17h ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 21¢ | $230 |
| 18h ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $517 |
| 18h ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $517 |
| 18h ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $13 |
| 19h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $338 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 26¢ | $309 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 27¢ | $135 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 26¢ | $309 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 27¢ | $135 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 26¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 26¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 27¢ | $219 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 27¢ | $219 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 27¢ | $105 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 27¢ | $105 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 27¢ | $81 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $665 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $665 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $62 |
| 1d ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $62 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $1,207 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $253 |
| 2d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $118 |
| 2d ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $136 |
| 2d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $118 |
| 2d ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $136 |
| 2d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $382 |
| 2d ago | troimMid | Sell | No | 74¢ | $485 |
| 2d ago | troimMid | Sell | No | 74¢ | $485 |
| 2d ago | troimMid | Sell | No | 74¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | troimMid | Sell | No | 74¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | troimMid | Sell | No | 74¢ | $10 |