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Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

ActiveLiquidity $106.0K·Volume $1.7M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes16%No84%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:42computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
13% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
76%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
13%price13%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$2,976 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$283
72h +$1,464
Smart money entered38¢13¢at 07:42(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy15h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$106.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $2,976 riding on it.

The price of 13% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 38¢; the price was 13¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$283, +$1,464 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:42
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
10h agoTBill1MidSellYes17¢$222
10h agoTBill1MidSellYes17¢$222
10h agoTBill1MidSellYes17¢$5
10h agoTBill1MidSellYes17¢$5
10h agoTBill1MidSellYes17¢$11
10h agoTBill1MidSellYes17¢$11
15h agodeltasniperMidBuyYes17¢$170
15h agoTBill1MidBuyYes18¢$48
15h agoTBill1MidBuyYes18¢$48
15h agoTBill1MidBuyYes18¢$42
15h agoTBill1MidBuyYes18¢$42
17h agoTBill1MidSellYes21¢$230
17h agoTBill1MidSellYes21¢$230
18h agoTBill1MidBuyYes20¢$517
18h agoTBill1MidBuyYes20¢$517
18h agoTBill1MidBuyYes20¢$13
19h agoTokorTopBuyNo72¢$338
1d agoTBill1MidSellYes26¢$309
1d agoTBill1MidSellYes27¢$135
1d agoTBill1MidSellYes26¢$309
1d agoTBill1MidSellYes27¢$135
1d agoTBill1MidSellYes26¢$3
1d agoTBill1MidSellYes26¢$3
1d agodeltasniperMidBuyYes21¢$11
1d agodeltasniperMidBuyYes21¢$11
1d agoTBill1MidSellYes27¢$219
1d agoTBill1MidSellYes27¢$219
1d agoTBill1MidSellYes27¢$105
1d agoTBill1MidSellYes27¢$105
1d agoTBill1MidSellYes27¢$81
1d agoTBill1MidBuyYes22¢$665
1d agoTBill1MidBuyYes22¢$665
1d agoTBill1MidBuyYes22¢$4
1d agoTBill1MidBuyYes22¢$3
1d agoTBill1MidBuyYes22¢$3
1d agoTBill1MidBuyYes22¢$62
1d agoTBill1MidBuyYes22¢$62
1d agotroimMidBuyNo73¢$1,207
1d agotroimMidBuyNo73¢$253
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyYes21¢$24
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyYes25¢$118
2d agoTBill1MidBuyYes20¢$136
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyYes25¢$118
2d agoTBill1MidBuyYes20¢$136
2d agoEdgePuntaMidBuyYes25¢$382
2d agotroimMidSellNo74¢$485
2d agotroimMidSellNo74¢$485
2d agotroimMidSellNo74¢$4
2d agotroimMidSellNo74¢$4
2d agotroimMidSellNo74¢$10