Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
ActiveLiquidity $22.2K·Volume $765.9K·Ends Mar 2, 2027
Price now:Yes93%No8%
Smart money leans
Yes
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$15.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered36¢92¢at 14:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 112d(Mar 2, 2027)Liquidity$22.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $15.1K riding on it.
The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 36¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $15.1K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 14:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $3,505 |
| 5d ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $300 |
| 5d ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $187 |
| 6d ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $96 |
| 6d ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $22 |
| 6d ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $988 |
| 6d ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | Yes | 92¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | Yes | 92¢ | $836 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $6,980 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $282 |
| 3w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $309 |
| 4w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | No | 32¢ | $2 |
| 4w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $101 |
| 4w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | No | 32¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | No | 34¢ | $1,360 |
| 5w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | No | 34¢ | $971 |
| 5w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | No | 34¢ | $170 |
| 5w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | No | 34¢ | $225 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $21 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $118 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $24 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $48 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $110 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $269 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $229 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $403 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $580 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $102 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $4 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $16 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $16 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $4 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $8 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $9 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $4 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $5 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $9 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $4 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $2 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $4 |