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Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

ActiveLiquidity $246.2K·Volume $10.0M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes0%No100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:43computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
0% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$220 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$208
72h +$373
Smart money entered0.5¢0.4¢at 02:43(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$246.2K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $220 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 0.5¢; the price was 0.4¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $220 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$208, +$373 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:43
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
10h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.4¢$1
10h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$112
10h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.4¢$1
10h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$112
15h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$17
15h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$8
15h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$8
15h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$17
18h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$0
18h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$0
18h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$0
18h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$2
18h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$2
18h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$1
18h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$1
19h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$0
19h agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$0
1d agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$99
1d agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$120
1d agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.6¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0
1w agolastminwinMidBuyYes0.1¢$0