U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $17.6K·Volume $202.9K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,898 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢97¢at 07:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$17.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,898 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,898 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $922 |
| 2w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $977 |