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Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $40.8K·Volume $314.8K·Ends Jan 2, 2027
Price now:Yes7%No93%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:17computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
92%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$3,609 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$57
72h -$489
Smart money entered78¢94¢at 04:17(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 52d(Jan 2, 2027)Liquidity$40.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $3,609 riding on it.

The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 78¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$57, -$489 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:17
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4h agoxxNyxMidSellYes4.5¢$19
15h agoUdonsanTopSellNo91¢$55
20h agoxxNyxMidSellYes7.8¢$16
20h agoxxNyxMidSellYes7.8¢$16
20h agoxxNyxMidSellYes8.6¢$4
1d agoxxNyxMidSellYes7.4¢$21
1d agoUdonsanTopSellNo93¢$143
1d agoUdonsanTopSellNo93¢$143
2d agoUdonsanTopSellNo94¢$94
2d agoUdonsanTopSellNo95¢$46
1w agoQuantDeLaFugaziMidSellYes11¢$0
1w agoQuantDeLaFugaziMidSellYes13¢$302
1w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo85¢$497
1w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes15¢$142
1w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes15¢$0
1w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes15¢$8
1w agoxxNyxMidSellYes20¢$6
1w agoQuantDeLaFugaziMidBuyYes17¢$14
1w agoQuantDeLaFugaziMidBuyYes17¢$3
1w agoxxNyxMidSellYes20¢$10
1w agoxxNyxMidSellYes20¢$20
1w agoQuantDeLaFugaziMidBuyYes17¢$403
1w agoxxNyxMidSellYes19¢$19
1w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes16¢$144
1w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes16¢$15
1w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes16¢$1
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes24¢$177
2w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo77¢$15
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes24¢$133
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes24¢$4
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes24¢$24
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes24¢$27
2w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes16¢$1
2w agoxxNyxMidBuyYes16¢$125
2w agoQuantDeLaFugaziMidSellYes16¢$128
2w agoQuantDeLaFugaziMidSellYes18¢$160
2w agoQuantDeLaFugaziMidSellYes23¢$626
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes24¢$145
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes25¢$15
2w ago101456MidBuyNo72¢$605
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes23¢$186
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes25¢$114
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes25¢$13
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes23¢$12
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes23¢$29
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes19¢$79
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes22¢$122
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes23¢$5
2w agoxxNyxMidSellYes23¢$23
2w agoUdonsanTopSellNo83¢$52