Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $2,481·Volume $106.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes42%No59%
Smart money leans
No
60% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
60%price60%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$1,342 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$444
Smart money entered59¢60¢at 07:20(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$2,481
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,342 riding on it.
The price of 60% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 59¢; the price was 60¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,342 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$444 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:20
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816Mid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $230 |
| 1d ago | 0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816Mid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $226 |
| 4d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 62¢ | $126 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $255 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 58¢ | $288 |
| 3w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 57¢ | $58 |
| 3w ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $280 |
| 3w ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $344 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $17 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $23 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $6 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $2 |
| 4w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 58¢ | $59 |
| 4w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $37 |
| 4w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | No | 59¢ | $48 |
| 5w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $261 |
| 5w ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $98 |