Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $3,127·Volume $38.7K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes22%No79%
Smart money leans
No
79% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
79%price79%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$386 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered72¢79¢at 03:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$3,127
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $386 riding on it.
The price of 79% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 72¢; the price was 79¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $386 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $364 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 74¢ | $368 |
| 5w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $330 |
| 8w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $22 |