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Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?

ActiveLiquidity $31.4K·Volume $204.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes9%No91%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:15computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
94%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$2,031 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,603
72h +$1,596
Smart money entered87¢92¢at 07:15(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$31.4K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,031 riding on it.

The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,603, +$1,596 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:15
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
6h agoshiifooMidBuyNo93¢$250
6h agoshiifooMidBuyNo93¢$250
6h agoshiifooMidBuyNo93¢$5
6h agoshiifooMidBuyNo93¢$60
6h agoshiifooMidBuyNo93¢$5
6h agoshiifooMidBuyNo93¢$60
6h agoshiifooMidBuyNo93¢$24
6h agoshiifooMidBuyNo93¢$42
6h agoshiifooMidBuyNo93¢$42
8h agoshiifooMidBuyNo93¢$5
8h agoshiifooMidBuyNo93¢$5
11h agoCarMidBuyNo91¢$707
12h agoshiifooMidBuyNo88¢$0
12h agoshiifooMidBuyNo88¢$0
12h agoshiifooMidBuyNo87¢$71
12h agoshiifooMidBuyNo87¢$71
13h agotroimMidSellYes15¢$2
13h agotroimMidSellYes15¢$3
13h agotroimMidSellYes15¢$3
13h agotroimMidSellYes15¢$3
13h agotroimMidSellYes15¢$3
13h agotroimMidSellYes15¢$3
13h agotroimMidSellYes15¢$2
1d agotroimMidSellYes15¢$100
1d agotroimMidSellYes15¢$9
1d agotroimMidSellYes15¢$100
1d agotroimMidSellYes15¢$9
1d agotroimMidSellYes15¢$8
1d agotroimMidSellYes15¢$18
1d agotroimMidSellYes15¢$18
1d agotroimMidSellYes15¢$8
3d agotroimMidSellYes15¢$3
3d agoCarMidSellYes15¢$139
3d agohugecaulkMidBuyYes17¢$240
3d agohugecaulkMidBuyYes15¢$204
3d agoCarMidBuyYes11¢$96
3d agoCarMidSellNo85¢$1,878
3d agoCarMidBuyNo84¢$1,878
6d agoshiifooMidBuyNo78¢$20
6d agoshiifooMidBuyNo78¢$16
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo78¢$13
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo78¢$34
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo78¢$13
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo78¢$72
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo78¢$39
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo78¢$23
1w agotroimMidSellYes20¢$20
1w agotroimMidSellYes20¢$2
1w agotroimMidSellYes20¢$5
1w agotroimMidSellYes20¢$0