Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $20.9K·Volume $39.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$8,650 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered86¢98¢at 07:46(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$20.9K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $8,650 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:46
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5w ago | TBill1Mid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $279 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $153 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $91 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $131 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $269 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $87 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $174 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $870 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $30 |
| 5w ago | plumbisMid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $84 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $833 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $17 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $1,670 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $172 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $870 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $880 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $382 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $176 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $586 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $158 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $364 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $388 |