Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
ActiveLiquidity $231.2K·Volume $14.6M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
Yes
1% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
1%price1%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,071 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$87
72h +$93
Smart money entered1.4¢1.5¢at 02:42(19% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy20h agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$231.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,071 riding on it.
The price of 1% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 1.4¢; the price was 1.5¢ at this snapshot — roughly 19% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,071 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$87, +$93 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $42 |
| 20h ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $42 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |