Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $152.2K·Volume $2.6M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
85%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$224.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$113
72h +$18.1K
Smart money entered88¢96¢at 06:37(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$152.2K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $224.9K riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$113, +$18.1K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12h ago | hugecaulkMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | C03BTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $110 |
| 1d ago | C03BTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $2,886 |
| 1d ago | C03BTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $39 |
| 1d ago | C03BTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $39 |
| 1d ago | C03BTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $330 |
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $4,409 |
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $4,401 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $403 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $403 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $350 |
| 2d ago | ponydsbMid | Sell | Yes | 8.0¢ | $82 |
| 2d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $298 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $915 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $915 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $58 |
| 2d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $58 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1,554 |
| 2d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $115 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $265 |
| 2d ago | MissaoComFlavioMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5,022 |
| 2d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $58 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $615 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $13,721 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $110 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $230 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1,840 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $115 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $12 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $53 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $41 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1,133 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $5,575 |
| 4d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $294 |
| 4d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $18 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 8.0¢ | $33 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 8.0¢ | $5 |