Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $5,798·Volume $98.1K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes11%No90%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$509 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered65¢90¢at 22:48(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$5,798
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $509 riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 65¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $509 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:48
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 86¢ | $157 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 85¢ | $155 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $42 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $214 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $92 |
| 9w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 66¢ | $147 |
| 9w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 68¢ | $93 |
| 9w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 62¢ | $132 |
| 9w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 62¢ | $6 |
| 9w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $7 |
| 9w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 58¢ | $87 |