Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $50.6K·Volume $702.7K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
13
$35.5K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$13.5K
72h +$17.9K
Smart money entered42¢99¢at 00:44(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$50.6K
Explanation
13 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $35.5K riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 42¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$13.5K, +$17.9K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $432 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $244 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $432 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $244 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $152 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $152 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $152 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $152 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $141 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $141 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $150 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $150 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $39 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $61 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $39 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $61 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $145 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $145 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $145 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $145 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $136 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $136 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $477 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $477 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $107 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $107 |
| 6h ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $13 |
| 6h ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $13 |
| 6h ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $126 |
| 6h ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $126 |
| 6h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,804 |
| 6h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,804 |
| 6h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $112 |
| 6h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $112 |
| 7h ago | ssddssdMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $776 |
| 7h ago | ssddssdMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $40 |
| 7h ago | ssddssdMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $57 |
| 7h ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $87 |
| 7h ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $87 |
| 7h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $94 |
| 7h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $99 |
| 7h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $94 |
| 7h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $99 |
| 7h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $12 |
| 7h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $12 |
| 18h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 18h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 18h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $1,568 |
| 18h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $190 |
| 18h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $190 |