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Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?

ActiveLiquidity $16.3K·Volume $23.3K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes1%No99%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:35computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$610 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered94¢99¢at 06:35(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$16.3K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $610 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $610 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:35
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1w agoshiifooMidBuyNo93¢$7
1w agoshiifooMidBuyNo97¢$10
1w agoshiifooMidBuyNo97¢$10
1w agoshiifooMidBuyNo98¢$503
2w agoaenews2MidSellNo98¢$1,066
3w agoaenews2MidBuyNo94¢$1,640
3w agoTBill1MidBuyYes5.0¢$17