Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $95.5K·Volume $474.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$27.7K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered92¢97¢at 16:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$95.5K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $27.7K riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $27.7K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5,607 |
| 6d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,121 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 95¢ | $1,107 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,055 |
| 3w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 94¢ | $228 |
| 3w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 94¢ | $188 |
| 3w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 94¢ | $54 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $794 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $273 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $1,880 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $814 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $4,700 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $9 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $844 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $9 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $9 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $9 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $114 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $127 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $16 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $4,695 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $1,165 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $9 |