Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $23.8K·Volume $19.2K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
94%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,875 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$391
72h +$4,544
Smart money entered94¢98¢at 06:35(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$23.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,875 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,875 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$391, +$4,544 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:35
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19h ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $391 |
| 1d ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $205 |
| 1d ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $205 |
| 1d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $1,400 |
| 1d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $1,400 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 8.3¢ | $62 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 8.3¢ | $62 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 7.8¢ | $104 |
| 1d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $739 |
| 1d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $739 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 7.8¢ | $104 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 6.1¢ | $133 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 6.1¢ | $133 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $130 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $764 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 94¢ | $178 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $34 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $43 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $34 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $53 |