Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more?
ActiveLiquidity $19.4K·Volume $34.4K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes97%No3%
Smart money leans
Yes
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$3,987 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered68¢90¢at 17:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$19.4K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,987 riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 68¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,987 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:11