Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $6,988·Volume $313.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$4,541 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered71¢95¢at 18:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$6,988
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $4,541 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 71¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $4,541 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 66¢ | $20 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 66¢ | $132 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 66¢ | $330 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 66¢ | $99 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 66¢ | $195 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 68¢ | $1,240 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 68¢ | $94 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 68¢ | $0 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 68¢ | $26 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 66¢ | $812 |