Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
ActiveLiquidity $310.9K·Volume $9.8M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
89%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$108.6K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,148
Smart money entered96¢97¢at 01:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$310.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $108.6K riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $108.6K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,148 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 3.2¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 3.2¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 3.2¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $63 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $293 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $2,320 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $6,799 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $9,630 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $19,220 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $38 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $6 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $20 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $20 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $14 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $16 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $16 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $12 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $5 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $276 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $15 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $482 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $30 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $30 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $2,020 |
| 1w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,193 |
| 1w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $2,339 |