Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $63.3K·Volume $280.8K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes8%No93%
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$8,614 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered91¢93¢at 17:48(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$63.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $8,614 riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $8,614 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:48
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1,289 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $2,760 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $92 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1,379 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $90 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $97 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $2,277 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $180 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $450 |
| 1w ago | broskyeMid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $17 |
| 1w ago | broskyeMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $17 |
| 4w ago | JokerTheClownTop | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $12 |
| 4w ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $13 |