Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
ActiveLiquidity $17.1K·Volume $229.6K·Ends Oct 31, 2026
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
98%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$20.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered87¢97¢at 07:40(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Oct 31, 2026)Liquidity$17.1K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $20.1K riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:40
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | Yes | 0.7¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | yen4uMid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | yen4uMid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $169 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $126 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $38 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $1,148 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $989 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $732 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5,431 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 7.1¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $374 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $60 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $34 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $19 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $6 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $6 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $38 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $38 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $20 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $31 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $27 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $27 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $36 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $12 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $77 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $61 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $61 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $81 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $15 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $92 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $411 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $411 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $410 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $381 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $406 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $654 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $213 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $89 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $734 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $191 |