Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $16.3K·Volume $399.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$13.6K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered87¢95¢at 16:42(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$16.3K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $13.6K riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $13.6K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $11 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $48 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $12 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $263 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $56 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $141 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $856 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 82¢ | $494 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 88¢ | $969 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $9 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $518 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $92 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 93¢ | $321 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 93¢ | $92 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 93¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 93¢ | $34 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $629 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $2,190 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $8 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $9 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $9 |
| 6w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $2 |
| 6w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $3,238 |
| 6w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $90 |
| 6w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $100 |
| 6w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $66 |
| 6w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $17 |
| 6w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $17 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $391 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $18 |
| 8w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $30 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $51 |
| 9w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $183 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $298 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $18 |
| 11w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $426 |
| 11w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $16 |
| 11w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $445 |
| 11w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $440 |