Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $43.6K·Volume $59.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$6,157 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢97¢at 02:39(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$43.6K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $6,157 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $6,157 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $528 |
| 2w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $1,715 |
| 2w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $170 |
| 2w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $626 |
| 2w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $1,054 |
| 3w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $183 |
| 3w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $130 |
| 4w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $8,583 |
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $278 |
| 5w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $901 |
| 5w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $279 |