Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
ActiveLiquidity $249.7K·Volume $3.8M·Ends Apr 19, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
Yes
1% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
1%price1%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,074 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered1.2¢1.3¢at 07:30(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 159d(Apr 19, 2027)Liquidity$249.7K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,074 riding on it.
The price of 1% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 1.2¢; the price was 1.3¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,074 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | Yes | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | Yes | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $2 |