Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $45.0K·Volume $21.6K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes19%No82%
Smart money leans
Yes
19% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
70%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
19%price19%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$315 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$292
72h +$554
Smart money entered15¢19¢at 07:14(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy21h agoResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$45.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $315 riding on it.
The price of 19% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 15¢; the price was 19¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $315 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$292, +$554 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:14
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21h ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $126 |
| 21h ago | eightpenguinsMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $126 |
| 1d ago | DragontreeMid | Sell | No | 83¢ | $1,337 |
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $74 |
| 2d ago | congoterrierMid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $196 |
| 3d ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $1,384 |
| 6d ago | pkzMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $25 |
| 6d ago | pkzMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $53 |
| 6d ago | pkzMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $169 |
| 6d ago | pkzMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $4,001 |