Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
ActiveLiquidity $363.9K·Volume $2.8M·Ends Dec 9, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
94%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$10.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,036
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 12:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 29d(Dec 9, 2026)Liquidity$363.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $10.1K riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $10.1K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,036 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 12:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 22h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 0.5¢ | $1,503 |
| 22h ago | foodenjoyerTop | Sell | Yes | 0.5¢ | $1,503 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $2,396 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $1,102 |
| 3d ago | kaxel78Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $778 |
| 3d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $638 |
| 4d ago | broskyeMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $10 |
| 4d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | Yes | 0.6¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | klli27Mid | Sell | Yes | 0.4¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | kaxel78Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $623 |
| 4d ago | klli27Mid | Sell | Yes | 0.5¢ | $10 |
| 4d ago | kaxel78Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $553 |
| 4d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | Yes | 0.7¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | Yes | 0.7¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $2,577 |
| 4d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | klli27Mid | Sell | Yes | 0.4¢ | $9 |
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $298 |