Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $6,885·Volume $33.9K·Ends Nov 18, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$4,285 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,942
72h +$5,459
Smart money entered89¢99¢at 17:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 7d(Nov 18, 2026)Liquidity$6,885
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $4,285 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $4,285 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,942, +$5,459 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $109 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $109 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $172 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $172 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $35 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $35 |
| 8h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 76¢ | $37 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $174 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $69 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $69 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $174 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $105 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $105 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $172 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $212 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $172 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $212 |
| 20h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $96 |
| 20h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $96 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $199 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $200 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $128 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $128 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $199 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $200 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $24 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $24 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $80 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $80 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $105 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $105 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $44 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $44 |
| 22h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $118 |
| 22h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $118 |
| 22h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $9 |
| 22h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $9 |
| 22h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $113 |
| 22h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $113 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $150 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $150 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $29 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $29 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $500 |