Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
ActiveLiquidity $12.9K·Volume $113.1K·Ends Oct 24, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$9,796 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$20
Smart money entered56¢100¢at 06:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Oct 24, 2026)Liquidity$12.9K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $9,796 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 56¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$20 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $1,628 |
| 1w ago | mrworldwideTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $100 |
| 1w ago | mrworldwideTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $82 |
| 1w ago | mrworldwideTop | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $621 |
| 2w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $551 |
| 2w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $27 |
| 2w ago | mrworldwideTop | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $199 |
| 2w ago | mrworldwideTop | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $219 |
| 2w ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $30 |
| 2w ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $83 |
| 2w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $173 |
| 2w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $82 |
| 2w ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $46 |
| 2w ago | AddarashMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $423 |
| 2w ago | FakePollsTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $86 |
| 2w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | No | 11¢ | $88 |
| 2w ago | FakePollsTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $200 |
| 2w ago | FakePollsTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $16 |
| 2w ago | FakePollsTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $97 |
| 2w ago | FakePollsTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $53 |
| 2w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $436 |
| 2w ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $255 |
| 2w ago | FakePollsTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $39 |
| 2w ago | FakePollsTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $71 |
| 2w ago | FakePollsTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $174 |
| 2w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | No | 13¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | AddarashMid | Sell | No | 13¢ | $14 |
| 3w ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $52 |
| 3w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $3,415 |
| 3w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $48 |
| 3w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $46 |
| 3w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $32 |
| 3w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $112 |
| 3w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $36 |
| 3w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $59 |
| 3w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $46 |
| 3w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $46 |
| 3w ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $253 |
| 3w ago | AddarashMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $215 |
| 3w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $308 |
| 3w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $154 |
| 4w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $923 |
| 5w ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $35 |
| 6w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $114 |
| 6w ago | piepedMid | Sell | No | 51¢ | $204 |
| 6w ago | piepedMid | Sell | No | 51¢ | $5 |