Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
ActiveLiquidity $202.8K·Volume $13.0M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
Yes
1% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
1%price1%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$887 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered1.1¢1.1¢at 20:21(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$202.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $887 riding on it.
The price of 1% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 1.1¢; the price was 1.1¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $887 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 20:21
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $83 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |